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![]() Trend Trading Gold and Silver By Chris Vermeulen May 31, 2010 Last week looked and felt like a pivotal week for both stocks and commodities. The past two weeks have had investors and traders in a panic as they try to find safe investments for their money. After watching and reviewing the panic selling in the market it looks as though the majority decided to sell everything and be in cash for the time being. This is bullish for the stock market. I will admit it has been tougher to trade recently because of increased risk levels due to the large 2-4% sell-offs and rallies happening within minutes. While this is amazing for disciplined and experienced traders who are able to pull the trigger getting in and out with quick profit in the matter of minutes, this same price action can blow up trading accounts of those who do not have a trading strategy, money management and the discipline to take profits and cut losses very quickly. The speed of the rallies and sell-offs is the matter of being up or down thousand of dollars in the matter of 5-10 minutes. That is one of the reasons I have stepped back from being aggressive and into more of an observation mode playing with small amounts of money and focusing on the larger trends at. My #1 goal is to make subscribers money with the least amount of risk and watching the market swing 2-4% in minutes makes it extremely difficult to get everyone in and out positions with a profit before the market changes directions. As much as I love trading, some times the best position is to have small ones or be in cash. GLD - Gold ETF Trading Here is my weekly updated chart of gold as it works its way through the correction from last year. The daily chart looks to be forming a larger cup-and-handle pattern which is extremely bullish. If this pattern does a text book move then we could see GLD reach $140 and spot gold would reach the $1400 area. That being said this pattern still has to complete the handle portion which could easily last another 4 weeks so I am not in a panic to add more to our position. ![]() SLV - Silver ETF Trading Silver is in much of the same situation. Because of the added volatility in silver the charts do not look quite the same but they are similar in many ways. Silver is used a lot for industrial purposes and because the economy which is very weak still (though it is getting better) we are not seeing silver demand rise much. If silver can break this large resistance level then we could see silver surge to $25 (25%) this year. ![]() Conclusion: I feel gold and silver will drift around to digest the recent move up and to form the handle portion. We tend to see the most price appreciation during the final stages of a trend and we could have seen that on the US dollar over the past 6 weeks. It looks as though the dollar could have put in a double top. If the dollar rolls over it would help boost precious metals, oil and stocks but we will not know it's a top until there is a clear trend reversal which in any case will be weeks before that type of price action can unfold. There are equal arguments for saying the market has bottomed with all the panic selling and that we should start another large rally lasting 8-12 months or one could argue this is capitulation volume signaling massive distribution of shares and now every rally/bounce will be sold. Personally I am torn between the two but lean more towards higher prices with a multi month grind up at slow rate. If you would like to receive my trading analysis, thoughts, and low risk trading setups, check out my trading services at www.TheTechnicalTraders.com. TheGoldAndOilGuy.com is owned and
run by me (Chris Vermeulen), an individual gold trading specialist.
After sharing my gold analysis with friends, traders and financial
advisors, I decided to make TheGoldAndOilGuy.com my full time job in
2003. This service was designed from the ground up to help individual
traders who want to focus on consistent, accurate and profitable trades.
Over the past ten years my strategy has been refined to one golden trading
vehicle which has an almost 100% accuracy. The GLD (DGP and DZZ) gold
exchange traded funds are now the most accurate trading vehicle I have
seen, so it's my vehicle of choice. Members of TheGoldAndOilGuy.com not
only get to trade my signals, but see my live trading charts and ask me
all the questions they wish. My goal is for all of us to make money
and have fun in life.Home | Products and Prices | Buying | Selling | FAQ | Articles | Forms | Top Website © Copyright J&M Coin & Jewellery Ltd. 2010. All rights reserved. Pricing index programming and site hosting by Sandrix Technologies Ltd. (AXD) | |||||||||||||||||||