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Articles and Commentary

Gold Trading Pattern
By Chris Vermeulen
July 18, 2010

It was an interesting options expiration week for equities that's for sure. We saw some very choppy price action with large waves of buying and selling as the bulls and bears fought for control. Gold closed lower for the week which is not a good sign considering the US dollar dropped like a rock along with them.

GLD - Gold ETF Price Action
Gold continues to pull back from the June highs. It looks as though it could form an ABC retrace pattern if the July 7th low is broken. If $1085 is broken we should see gold drop to $1065-75 level. On the GLD ETF that would be around the $112.50 - $113.50 level. That should shake out the majority of weak positions and start to rally towards the $1250/60 level.


Conclusion:
Overall it looks like we could have a couple more days of weakness for stocks and commodities. The US dollar is very much oversold and as of this writing it looks like its starting a small bounce. A rising dollar tends to put downward pressure on gold and oil along with the large multinational companies.

Equities sold off Friday with a slow grind down from 9:30 am to 4:00 pm, never putting in any type of bounce when looking at the 60-minute chart. The SP500 and other indexes are way oversold after Friday and I am expecting some follow through Monday as investors review the charts over the weekend and see what happened on Friday. That should cause another wave of selling in the morning as traders panic out of positions.

It's going to be an exciting week for sure!

If you would like to receive my trading analysis and trade alerts be sure to checkout my services at: www.FuturesTradingSignals.com and www.TheGoldAndOilGuy.com.


TheGoldAndOilGuy.com is owned and run by me (Chris Vermeulen), an individual gold trading specialist. After sharing my gold analysis with friends, traders and financial advisors, I decided to make TheGoldAndOilGuy.com my full time job in 2003. This service was designed from the ground up to help individual traders who want to focus on consistent, accurate and profitable trades. Over the past ten years my strategy has been refined to one golden trading vehicle which has an almost 100% accuracy. The GLD (DGP and DZZ) gold exchange traded funds are now the most accurate trading vehicle I have seen, so it's my vehicle of choice. Members of TheGoldAndOilGuy.com not only get to trade my signals, but see my live trading charts and ask me all the questions they wish. My goal is for all of us to make money and have fun in life.


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