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Articles and Commentary

This page provides assorted 2009 stories and articles relating to precious metals as written by a panel of contributors and by industry and independent investment consultants. Click on the title of the article to read the full story.

See also 2007, 2008, 2010, or 2011 archived articles.

Disclaimer: The views and information provided in these articles and commentaries do not necessarily reflect the views of J&M Coin & Jewellery Ltd. and are provided as a free service to our clients.

  • Gold Group Sues Federal Reserve
    By Chris Powell
    December 30, 2009

    GATA today brought suit against the U.S. Federal Reserve Board, seeking a court order for disclosure of the central bank's records of its surreptitious market intervention to suppress the monetary metal's price.

  • Holiday Gold
    By Chris Vermeulen
    December 28, 2009

    Gold and silver are in a short-term down trend and trading near a resistance level. We could see prices drop quickly or rally from here. So we are letting things unfold before making a commitment.

  • Gold -- A Hard Look into 2010
    By John Winston
    December 23, 2009

    The markets will not be an easy navigating area in 2010. One of the key elements we need to be on guard for is whether the markets will do the opposite of this market, the USA dollar.

  • Gold Trends -- What's Next?
    By Chris Vermeulen
    December 22, 2009

    The trend of gold has been very predictable over the recent months and this correction seems to be textbook pullback. I see the short term trend of gold still down but the longer and more powerful underlying trend is up. Let's wait for the price of gold and silver to sort itself out and wait for low risk entry points before jumping back in.

  • Greenback Grinds Higher after Convincing Breakout
    By Donald W. Pendergast Jr.
    December 21, 2009

    Long-term, the abysmal fundamental outlook for the USA dollar doesn't seem likely to get much better, at least not until the flood of deficit spending is brought under some semblance of control. However, the USA dollar has already experienced two powerful bear market rallies since early 2005 and this current move certainly looks like it has the makings of rally number three.

  • Gold and Silver are Trading Predictably
    By Chris Vermeulen
    December 17, 2009

    Gold broke down sharply from its trend channel and has settled into a support zone. Wednesday we saw a nice bounce but the question is, is this a rally or a sucker's bounce?

  • Gold: Expecting More Downside
    By Donald W. Pendergast Jr.
    December 14, 2009

    So, we've seen a substantial correction in the gold market over the past couple of weeks, and that means that gold is now ready to rocket higher to fresh highs, isn't it? Probably not, at least not right away, and patient and wise traders and investors will want to wait a bit to see what gold does as it interacts with any number of key support levels.

  • What's Next for Gold and Silver?
    By Chris Vermeulen
    December 14, 2009

    Silver and gold are testing support levels and if the market continues to rally here, I figure precious metals will follow. But if we see stocks pull back and test support, then we will most likely see the metals pull back further also.

  • A Seasonal Look at Gold
    By John Winston
    December 11, 2009

    From a seasonal standpoint, odds favor one more push up into mid-winter. I feel that the key area to watch price action is at the upper end of this channel line. A failure to move above the upper black channel line would provide the peak for this current leg and a correction into the spring would unfold.

  • Trading Gold and Silver
    By Chris Vermeulen
    December 10, 2009

    Gold stocks and the broad market are in a bull market. The recent pullback has many traders worried. I think this an opportunity to bet into some positions before the next rally. Buying the dips in a bull market is a low risk trade until proven wrong. I think we still have more of a pullback yet but then we could have a very profitable year end Christmas rally.

  • Gold: A Minor Pullback or a Major Correction?
    By Donald W. Pendergast Jr.
    December 8, 2009

    After charging above $1,200 on the front-month futures contract earlier in the week, gold finally finished the week on a very weak note, closing below $1,150. Clearly, gold is beginning a trend reversal on a daily-based time frame, but the technical picture is less clear over the long-term.

  • 'Tis the Season to Trade the Seasonal Charts: Gold and Silver
    By Chris Vermeulen
    December 3, 2009

    The market has had a fantastic week so far for precious metals. The financial sector is under-performing which is a concern but we continue to hold our positions and will wait until a reversal to lock in our gains.



  • The Dow, Dollar and Gold: What Goes Down Must Come Up
    By Chris Vermeulen
    November 29, 2009

    The broad market is becoming unstable and looks like it could have more of a pullback this week. I would not be adding to any long positions until we see the market trading near support.

  • Weak Dollar Boosts Commodities ... So What's Next?
    By Chris Vermeulen
    November 26, 2009

    Another fantastic week for precious metals as the USA dollar continues its slide lower. When commodities start to trend they become very profitable for those riding them up or down. But when a short term trend starts to virtually go straight up (parabolic) then we must be prepared for a sharp pullback.

  • Precious Metals Trading Report
    By Chris Vermeulen
    November 19, 2009

    So far this week has been generous with our gold and silver ETFs moving higher. Each of the commodity ETF trading charts below is at a different stage and it will be interesting to see how things unfold in the coming weeks.

  • Gold: On the Fast Track Toward $1200?
    By Mark Brown
    November 17, 2009

    Well, the long-expected retest and subsequent breakout of '$1,000 gold' has finally occurred, with the rally taking the cash price of the metal to the north side of the $1,100 per ounce level in relatively short order. The big question now, of course, is this -- does gold have enough investor interest behind it to push it to the next significant price level of $1,200?

  • Commodity Report for Gold and Silver
    By Chris Vermeulen
    November 8, 2009

    Everyone is talking about commodities as the place to be in the coming months. I tend to agree, but it is still important to know where each commodity is trading to maximize returns and reduce risk.

  • Precious Metals Gone Wild
    By Chris Vermeulen
    November 4, 2009

    Precious Metals ETF have gone wild the past two weeks. Last week we saw gold and silver prices drop sharply as it shook out short-term trader's stop orders before breaking out and moving higher. Also there is a disconnect between the gold and the dollar.

  • Gold and Silver: Where to Go From Here
    By Carter Thompson
    November 2, 2009

    Are we in store for new highs shortly or is more consolidation needed for these precious metals before a resumption of the upward trend? On the other hand, have they completely topped out?



  • Gold - What You Should be Watching For
    By John Winston
    October 30, 2009

    The potential for the world to move away from paper is growing in leaps and bounds and the growing demand for energy is rapidly expanding.

  • Gold Trading - Playing the Moving Average and Momentum Ratios
    By John Winston
    October 26, 2009

    For those investors who may be wary of putting large sums of cash to work right now in the Gold market, here's a possible way for you to dip your toes into the water without fear of getting in too far over your head.

  • A Golden Star is about to be Born
    By Peter Degraaf
    October 21, 2009

    The question "is gold overpriced?" is answered here with an emphatic "No!" At $1070, gold is just 38% above its 200-week moving average, compared to 80% in March 2008 and 57% in July 2008.

  • Buying Precious Metals on Pullback
    By Carter Thompson
    October 16, 2009

    We would suggest slow accumulation when these precious metals hit these levels and volatility dies down. The probability that support levels hold are high given that the up-trends are quite fresh and given inflation signals across asset classes.

  • Gold - 'Tis the Seasonal to be Checking
    By John Winston
    October 9, 2009

    If you've been having difficulty understanding market behavior lately, these charts suggest to me that the analysis is already what we all know. ALL MARKETS RUN COUNTER TO FUNNY MONEY. Can you imagine calling the US Dollar funny money? That is what it has become.

  • Commodities in Final Stages of Basing - Gold and Silver
    By Chris Vermeulen
    October 9, 2009

    Commodities have and continue to be a fantastic trading vehicle for those who can stomach volatility. After last year's market crash most commodities pulled back to normal if not lower than normal trading ranges.

  • Gold at a Monthly Crossroads: Which Way Now?
    By Mark Brown
    October 5, 2009

    Having risen approximately 300% since the start of its bull run in 2001, gold has far outpaced the investment gains in virtually every other investment class, including stocks, bonds, real estate and cash. Gold bugs feel certain that this time will be the 'big one.'



  • The Most Important Chart You'll See All Day!
    By Peter Degraaf
    September 23, 2009

    Although technical analysis based on charts should not be used in isolation, but always in conjunction with fundamentals, a chart is nevertheless a valuable tool as it conveys recent history, and since history repeats, it can provide clues for the future.

  • Precious Metals Report
    By Chris Vermeulen
    September 8, 2009

    Gold is once again the hot commodity as the price rises to the $1000 per ounce level. This $1000 to $1033 is a technical pivot point for gold. One of two things is going to take place in the coming weeks.



  • Are the bullion banks losing their grip on gold and silver?
    By Peter Degraaf
    August 26, 2009

    In the event that the commercials are able to cause one more forced bottom, be ready to jump in and get your gold before they can get theirs. Based on the chart evidence presented in chart one of this article, have no fear of the COTs! One day they will be your friend!

  • Precious Metals Report
    By Chris Vermeulen
    August 23, 2009

    Precious metals are slowly working their way to the apex of their large multi-month pennant formation. In the coming weeks or months I expect to see prices spike much higher.

  • Gold Analysis and Strategy
    By Florian Grummes
    August 10, 2009

    Most of the time big rallies and new bull markets are born in a panic sentiment after a strong sell-off (e.g. DOW in March). At the moment, most of the market commentators and the "gurus" expect the breakout very soon. To me, the sentiment feels way too positive and I am not planning to be moving with the crowd.



  • The Day the Dollar Died
    By Bill Downey
    July 26, 2009

    Of all the investment vehicles out there right now, gold seems poised to have a lot of action in the coming months and years. I believe, little by little, it is going to be recognized for what it really is -- real money. Gold is not an "I owe you" (I.O.U). It is not debt. It has been real money since the dawn of civilization.

  • Gold Analysis and Strategy
    By Florian Grummes
    July 18, 2009

    Compared to the price two weeks ago nothing much has happened in the gold market. After a short drop down to U$905.00, gold moved up again to the rising 50d MA (U$938.03). Short covering, a weaker dollar, and the strong rally in the broader stock market were responsible for the US$35 gain in the last five trading sessions.

  • Gold, Silver, HUI -- The Rallies are Starting
    By Peter Degraaf
    July 14, 2009

    The trillions of dollars that are being pumped into the system by the various central banks are slowly trickling into the world's economies. While the bulk of the injections are still locked up in bank vaults, small amounts are already entering into every day commercial transactions. This includes cash infusions into the Chinese economy.

  • Gold Analysis and Strategy
    By Florian Grummes
    July 4, 2009

    The sentiment cooled down already but I believe that for gold to climb the wall of worry the weak hands will have to be pushed out of the market once again.



  • Gold Analysis and Strategy
    By Florian Grummes
    June 22, 2009

    A lot of analysts expect a dramatic inflation very soon to happen -- but since summer 2007 we have faced a heavy loss of assets worth around 50 trillion USD worldwide. Compared to that all the money spent by the governments and central banks are a drop in the bucket. For the moment the banks will repair their balance sheets (= deleverage) and be quite cautious with lending money.

  • Trading Gold with the Gold Direction Indicator
    By Peter Degraaf
    June 19, 2009

    Historically, once a country uses the printing press to pay for its stated goals and ongoing obligations, there is not one instance in human history where those debts and obligations are ever being paid off. These actions have always resulted in the destruction of the currency.



  • Gold and Silver - An Important Alert!
    By Peter Degraaf
    April 23, 2009

    The Gold Direction Indicator is flashing another buy signal. This indicates that the pull-back that started late February is probably finished. A new rally is about to start.

  • Gold and Silver - To Buy or Not to Buy, That is the Question
    By Peter Degraaf
    April 3, 2009

    Historically, and based on 35 years of data, gold usually puts in a bottom in March and a top in April. We've had the bottom on March 18th and we await a top in April. Can we count on gold rising to a top in April or is this a year where we cannot count on historical data?



  • A Look at Gold, Silver and the HUI Using the Gold Direction Indicator
    By Peter Degraaf
    February 16, 2009

    The long-term outlook for gold is very bullish for, to paraphrase Sir Winston Churchill's famous remark, "never before in history have so many dollars chased so few ounces of gold (and silver)." The mountains of currency are rising while the number of ounces of gold produced by gold mines is dropping.



  • GATA Exposes Fed's Blueprint for Secret Market Intervention
    By Chris Powell
    January 16, 2009

    A Federal Reserve Board document from 1961, contained in the archive of the board's late longtime chairman, William McChesney Martin Jr., shows the Fed planning to intervene surreptitiously in the currency and gold markets to support the dollar and to conceal, obscure, and falsify U.S. government records so that the intervention would not be discovered.


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